Current world

How long will the global pandemic take?

The world is now facing a historical situation. The popular places are seems ghostly now. People have restrictions on daily movements and public gatherings. School has closed, travel banned and cities are locked down.

But where is the end of it? When will people be able to return to their normal daily life?

British Prime Minister Boris Johnson has said Britain will be able to ‘turn the tide in reverse’ within 12 weeks. Two and a half weeks have passed.

Within three months, the number of infections will decrease, but there is still a long time to go before the coronavirus infection can be completely eliminated.

It may take up to a few years.

It is clear that the way big cities are being shut down and rules are being imposed on people’s daily movements is not going to continue in the long run. If everything is closed like this, the social and economic impact will be severe.

Countries need to find a strategy to get out of this situation. You have to find ways to overcome the restrictions and get back to normal life.

It is true that the imposition of restrictions has made it possible to prevent the spread of coronavirus. Removing these restrictions will increase the number of infections.

“What are the strategies for getting out of here and how do we get out of it – there are big problems with that,” said Mark Ulhaus, professor of infectious diseases at Edinburgh University.

He said that no country in the world has a strategy on the matter.

Determining this strategy is a major scientific and social challenge.

There are three ways to do this

  1. Vaccinate
  2. Virus infection in many people will develop immunity in them
  3. Or to bring about a permanent change in the behavior of people and society

Vaccinate

It will take 12 to 18 months for the vaccine to arrive. If they receive the vaccine, they will not actually get sick with coronavirus. The more people that can be vaccinated, the better. If 5 percent of the total population is vaccinated, the virus will not spread.

Already in the United States, a person has been vaccinated with coronavirus experimentally. Whatever vaccine is discovered, it is first tested on any organism. In this case, special approval has been taken to apply to the people first.

Work is on at a rapid pace to detect coronavirus vaccine. But whether it will be successful or whether the vaccine will be given around the world – he is not sure.

Developing immunity naturally

Cough is one of the symptoms of coronavirus infection.

The strategy that Britain has adopted to deal with coronavirus infections is to reduce the number of infections as much as possible so that hospitals do not become overcrowded. Once the hospitals are full of patients, there will be no place in the ICU. As a result, the death toll will continue to rise.

Britain’s chief scientific adviser, Sir Patrick Valencey, said it was not possible to give a specific time frame for when the coronavirus infection would control.

“We’re talking about lowering the levels of infection so that fewer people are infected in the country,” said Neil Ferguson, a professor at London’s Imperial College.

“If we can do this for more than two years, a large part of the country will slowly be affected. This will lead to the development of normal disease resistance.”

But the question of how long the immune system developed through this strategy will last. The immune system has not worked very well in cases of other types of coronavirus infections in the past. Many people have been infected several times in their lives.

Changes in our behavior

What are the alternatives?
“The third thing is to bring about lasting changes in our behavior so that the level of infection does not increase,” said Professor Ulhaus.

There are some issues in the steps that have been taken so far. For example, if someone is infected with coronavirus, isolation or strengthening the test.

“We initially identified patients with coronavirus and also traced others came in contact with, but that didn’t work,” said Professor Wolfhaus.

He said that if Covid-19 medicine was discovered, it would help to implement other strategies.

Professor Chris Whitty, Britain’s chief medical adviser, was asked the ways to come out from current situation.

“Vaccination is the long-term solution. We hope it will be done as soon as possible,” he said.

He hopes science will find a solution.

Source: BBC News

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